49ers sign Carr; trade Hill to Lions

Football Betting Lines

03/15/2010 - Santa Clara, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The San Francisco 49ers have signed quarterback David Carr and have agreed to trade Shaun Hill to the Detroit Lions.

Hill spent the past four seasons with San Francisco and will head to Detroit, pending a physical, in exchange for an undisclosed pick in the 2011 NFL Draft.

Carr, meanwhile, spent the past two seasons as Eli Manning's backup with the New York Giants. He also played a year in Carolina after spending his first five seasons as the starting quarterback for the Houston Texans.

A native of Bakersfield, California, who starred collegiately at Fresno State, Carr was the first overall pick of the 2002 draft and immediately became the starter for the expansion Texans.

The 30-year-old veteran started 75 of his 76 games in five seasons with Houston, then started four of his six games with Carolina in 2007. He appeared in just nine games over two seasons with the Giants, and completed 30-of-45 passes for 340 yards with three touchdowns in very limited action.

"We are very happy to add David to our roster," said 49ers general manager Scot McCloughan. "We added a player at a position of need and of huge importance to us. David provides depth at the quarterback position and helps make us stronger. He's a great young man."

In 91 NFL games, including 79 starts, Carr has connected on 59.8 percent of his passes for 14,366 with 65 touchdowns and 70 interceptions.

Hill spent his first four NFL seasons with Minnesota, then joined the 49ers as a free agent in 2006. After serving as the third quarterback his first season in San Francisco, Hill started 16 games and made two other appearances over the following three seasons. He threw for 3,490 yards with 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions with the 49ers.

"Shaun is the ultimate competitor," said 49ers head coach Mike Singletary. "He gave everything he had to his teammates, coaches and fans. I admire how Shaun took advantage of his opportunities and got the most out of his abilities. I wish him nothing but the best as he starts a new chapter in Detroit."

In Detroit, he'll back up second-year man Matthew Stafford.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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